Past forecasts (before July 1996)

The forecasts here (January 1996 to July 1996) were produced by our neural network model version 1.1.

Using data up to July 1996.

Our forecast calls for a moderate cold tropical condition in the 96/97 winter.
Using data up to June 1996.

Our forecast calls for a moderate cold tropical condition in the 96/97 before October 1996 May 1996.

Our forecast calls for a moderate cold tropical condition in the 96/97 winter.
Using data up to April 1996.

Our forecast calls for a normal , or a slightly cold tropical condition in the 96/97 winter. We caution that our forecast using data up to Feb 1996 (issued two months ago) called for a warm 96/97 winter; now with the new April 1996 data, the forecasts changed. This sensitivity to the addition of new data usually indicates a time of low confidence forecasts.
Using data up to March 1996.

Our forecast calls for a normal tropical condition in the 96/97 winter. We caution that our forecast using data up to Feb 1996 (issued last month) called for a warm 96/97 winter; now with the new March 1996 data, the model favors a normal 96/97 winter.
Using data up to February 1996.

The forecasts starting from Octocber 1995 and January 1996 predicted considerable tropical warming in the 1997 spring, while the other 4 forecasts predicted earlier warming in the 1996-97 winter.
Using data up to January 1996.