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shharris@...

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The response of phytoplankton populations to variability
of their physical oceanic environment and the subsequent
effect on marine resources
The Global Ocean Ecosystem Dynamics Program (GLOBec) will
examine how and why living marine resources are affected by
variability of their physical oceanic environment. More
specifically, this project will determine the response of
commercial fish and plankton populations off the western
Canadian continental shelf and slope to variability of
circulation and water properties at seasonal to decadal time
scales. I will examine variations in phytoplankton primary
production, biomass, and composition as mediated by physical
transport and nutrient supply and how these variations
affect food availability for salmon. Combined with
time-series data sets from other locations this work will
allow me to evaluate large scale coherence of year-to-year
"anomalies" between various variables and between widely
separate locations. This work is essential to provide input
and validate data for the physical/plankton/fish model being
developed for the western continental margin of Vancouver
Island. This model will be used to forecast ecosystem
production trends based on physical forcing of the lower
trophic levels, and natural and anthropogenic forcing of the
higher trophic levels.
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Study Rational
Pacific coast fish and zooplankton communities undergo
yearly and decadal fluctuations which are
ecologically/economically significant in terms of
production. Both steady-state fisheries models and
increasing scientific evidence correlate stock collapse and
extreme failures to major shifts in the marine climate
rather than purely fishery harvests. Currently, several west
coast fisheries are managed using various proxy indices of
oceanic conditions based on correlations with convenient
variables that incorporate minimal knowledge of the
underlying mechanisms. These management indices based solely
on hindcast correlations have a history of breaking down
over time, either permanently or during specific oceanic
events. Major errors in management advice resulting in both
conservation and social crises and the loss of millions of
dollars to the Canadian economy are conceivable. What is
needed to make the indices more reliable is an understanding
and quantification of the causal processes underlying these
correlations. Specifically the processes that affect the
growth and survival of early marine life stages, and the
migration of adult stages will be addressed.
Study Area
This study will span the continental shelf and slope of the
west coast of Vancouver Island from the Juan de Fuca Strait
to Queen Charlotte Sound. This region is particularly
interesting for study because it is characterized by several
regions of intense wind-induced and topographically enhanced
upwelling. It is also a primary migration corridor for west
coast salmon stocks and is ecologically and economically
productive. The historical information base is excellent and
makes this one of the few Canadian ecosystems for which
assessment of interdecadal variability is possible.
Project Status
I have recently completed the first of three cruises
scheduled for the 1997 sampling season. My project will be
based on analysis of data from two years - 1997 and 1998.
Cruises are schedules to study the spring bloom, summer
population, and the fall phytoplankton population
transition.
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