The forecast model is the
neural-dynamical hybrid coupled model with the
assimilation of the NCEP sea level height anomaly data (Tang and
Fig 1 shows our latest forecasts (initialized using data till the end of
indicating warm El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific
to peak in late
2004, then slow decay till the summer of 2005.
Fig.1 Predicted SSTA of the tropical Pacific. Contour interval is 0.5 degree Celsius, with positive anomalies indicated by solid contours, negative anomalies by dashed contours, and zero by thick contours. Positive anomalies above 1 degree are shaded in red, and negative anomalies below -1 degree are in green. The zero contour is in purple.